HOUSTON (KIAH) – The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) just released their 2024 Atlantic hurricane season forecast, and the numbers have never been higher.
NOAA is calling for an 85% chance of a more-active-than-normal Atlantic season, a 10% chance of near normal and a 5% chance of below normal.
NOAA's forecast contains the highest numbers they've ever used in a May forecast. They're calling for 17-25 named storms. Of those, 8-13 hurricanes, and of those, 4-7 major hurricanes. That's well above the average of 14, 7 and 3, respectively.
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A big part of the expected active season is a likely transition from the current El Niño status to La Niña by the peak of hurricane season, which usually makes for less wind shear, creating a more favorable environment for storms to form and grow in the Atlantic Basin.
The Atlantic hurricane season begins June 1st and runs through the end of November, and is typically most active mid-August through mid-October.
